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Paper trading live capital decision checklist

Use this checklist to slow down any live-capital discussion until the paper-trading evidence is clean, conservative, and honest about simulation limits. A checklist can surface gaps; it cannot approve real-money trading.

Paper-first safety frame

Trading Boy does not execute live trades, hold funds, connect custody, or provide financial advice. This checklist is for simulated evidence review only. Any live-capital decision happens outside Trading Boy and should account for risks that paper trading cannot validate.

Decision checklist

Work through each row before changing a workflow from simulated review into any external live-capital conversation. A single failed row should usually produce more paper testing, not a workaround.

GateQuestionPass evidenceStop condition
Sample qualityIs the sample complete enough to inspect?Entries, exits, skips, misses, exclusions, and dates are recorded.Only selected winners or recent trades are visible.
Rule stabilityDid the setup, prompt, and risk rule stay stable?Version labels show what was tested and when it changed.The sample blends several rule versions.
Risk behaviorDid paper size, drawdown, and exposure stay inside plan?Losses, pauses, and size limits are documented before the result.Paper gains depend on breaking the risk rule.
Execution gapWere simulated fills reviewed against possible live slippage?The review names fill, fee, latency, and liquidity assumptions.The paper result assumes perfect execution.
Outlier dependencyDoes one winner or one market regime explain most of the result?Raw and normalized views are both shown.One unusual trade drives the conclusion.
Behavior reviewWere FOMO, revenge, hesitation, and rule breaks tagged?Behavior tags connect mistakes to the next paper test.The journal ignores emotional or process drift.
Outside riskAre real-world risks explicitly named?The review includes fees, taxes, liquidity, custody, and capital stress.The paper sample is presented as proof of live readiness.

Example decision review

Paper sample: A trader reviews 68 simulated trades across eight weeks. The strategy is positive on paper, but two large winners explain most of the return.

Checklist result: Sample quality passes because entries, skips, and misses are recorded. Rule stability passes for the last six weeks. Risk behavior is mixed because three entries widened the stop after the setup moved. Execution gap fails because the review assumes fills at the paper mark without fee or slippage notes.

Decision: The checklist does not support a live-capital discussion. The next action is another paper sample with stricter stop-distance rules and a simulated slippage note on every entry. The trader also completes the paper trading execution slippage review before revisiting the topic.

Use after validation

Start with the paper trading results validation checklist. If that checklist finds missing records, mixed versions, or weak journal evidence, do not use this live-capital checklist yet. The decision layer depends on the evidence layer being clean.

Decision outputs

A completed checklist should produce one conservative output. The cleanest output is often "keep testing in paper mode." Other acceptable outputs are "tighten one rule," "reduce simulated risk," "split the benchmark by market regime," or "stop the workflow." Avoid broad labels like "approved" or "ready" because they overstate what paper evidence can prove.

If the review includes an AI paper-trading agent, also record prompt version, persona version, model notes, and whether the agent respected human review boundaries. Use AI trading agent without live execution to keep the agent framed as a simulated review assistant rather than a live trading bot.

How to handle disagreement

Decision reviews often create disagreement because one person sees promising paper performance while another sees missing evidence. Resolve that by pointing to the checklist row, not by debating confidence. If sample quality fails, add records. If execution assumptions fail, run the execution slippage review. If confidence is emotional, use the confidence questions before changing the workflow.

The safest rule is to require the weakest row to define the next paper test. A strong paper return does not override missing skips, mixed rule versions, or unclear drawdown behavior. The next action should fix the evidence gap that prevents a serious review.

Live capital decision checklist FAQ

What is a paper trading live capital decision checklist?

It is a conservative paper-first checklist for reviewing simulated evidence before any real-money decision is considered outside Trading Boy.

Can this checklist approve live trading?

No. The checklist cannot approve live trading, predict returns, or replace professional advice. Trading Boy does not execute live trades, hold funds, or provide financial advice.

What should stop a live-capital discussion?

Stop the discussion when sample size is weak, rules changed mid-test, drawdown behavior is unclear, skipped trades are missing, or paper results depend on unrealistic fills.